Zach Stephens vs German Mingaleev Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the last six months, German Mingaleev has a slight edge in second serve points won with 38.19% compared to Zach Stephens' 36.84%. Could this indicate an advantage in service games?
• Regarding return games, Mingaleev also leads by winning 48.41% of second serve returns, surpassing Stephens, who secured 45.50%.
• Both players are nearly equal in first serve return performance, with Stephens at 29.35% and Mingaleev at 29.05%.
• Under pressure, Stephens excels in saving breakpoints, achieving a 51.69% save rate against Mingaleev's 44.23%.
• Stephens has a superior match win percentage over the past year at 51.72%, compared to Mingaleev’s 44.44%.
• Both players perform best on hard courts, boasting a 52% career win rate on this surface. However, Mingaleev fares slightly better on clay.
• Head-to-head, Stephens has defeated Mingaleev in their sole encounter, winning both sets at their last match on a hard court.
• Mingaleev has faced opponents with an average rank that's better than Stephens’ adversaries, suggesting a tougher recent competition level.
• In deciding sets, Mingaleev has a notable advantage with a 63% win rate compared to Stephens' 29%.

Editorial Prediction (October 7, 2025, UTC):

Considering recent performance statistics, German Mingaleev holds a small advantage in both second serve points won and return games, indicating a potential edge in maintaining service games and challenging Stephens’ serve.

Zach Stephens, however, demonstrates superior breakpoint resilience and a better overall win rate over the past year. Head-to-head history also favors Stephens, who won their previous match in straight sets on hard court, the surface for their upcoming contest.

While Mingaleev has demonstrated better resilience in deciding sets, the combination of Stephens' stronger track record in direct encounters and his ability to play under pressure suggests that if Stephens can leverage these strengths, he is well-positioned to emerge victorious in their next match.

Taking all factors into account, Zach Stephens is the likely winner for this upcoming tennis match.